[./plugin.c] query_device:Visual was FB_VISUAL_PSEUDOCOLOR, trying to find usable mode.
[./plugin.c] query_device:Visual is FB_VISUAL_PSEUDOCOLOR; not using graphics
This means your kernel is only presenting a 16-bit framebuffer for use, not a 32-bit framebuffer; plymouth doesn't support properly displaying on a 16-bit fb, so avoids using the fb at all to not present you with horrible wrong color palettes.
If this worked for you in lucid with a full-color splash screen, then there seems to be a bug in the nouveau kernel driver for no longer exposing the expected 32-bit framebuffer. Reassigning to the kernel.
If this can't be fixed in the kernel, we should blacklist this card in grub-gfxpayload-lists.
Ok, the key bit of the log is this:
[./plugin.c] query_device:Visual was FB_VISUAL_ PSEUDOCOLOR, trying to find usable mode.
[./plugin.c] query_device:Visual is FB_VISUAL_ PSEUDOCOLOR; not using graphics
This means your kernel is only presenting a 16-bit framebuffer for use, not a 32-bit framebuffer; plymouth doesn't support properly displaying on a 16-bit fb, so avoids using the fb at all to not present you with horrible wrong color palettes.
If this worked for you in lucid with a full-color splash screen, then there seems to be a bug in the nouveau kernel driver for no longer exposing the expected 32-bit framebuffer. Reassigning to the kernel.
If this can't be fixed in the kernel, we should blacklist this card in grub-gfxpayload -lists.