Comment 3 for bug 474214

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William Grant (wgrant) wrote :

Got the log (http://launchpadlibrarian.net/35076743/cz.archive.ubuntu.com-probe-logfile.txt) from an admin. It is easy to misunderstand.

Ondřej, in this case you were in fact some time behind (although you're up to date now). The way the mirror prober works is to find the most recent packages published before one hour, two hours, six hours, one day, two days, and one week ago. For each mirror, it first looks for the file published one hour ago. If that is found, the mirror is at most one hour old. If it is not, the two-hour-old file is looked for. If that is found, the mirror at most two hours behind. etc.

If you look in the log just before the failure, you'll see two 404s for karmic-proposed. The first file to be found is the third. So you were actually slightly out of date.