Can't upgrade from 22.04 to 22.10

[Ole Schönburg]

Apt says everything is up to date except a few updates on hold.
apt-mark shows nothing is on hold.

System is freshly installed on 22.04 LTS, then upgraded everything and enabled non-LTS updates.

ProblemType: Bug
DistroRelease: Ubuntu 22.04
Package: ubuntu-release-upgrader-core 1:22.04.16
ProcVersionSignature: Ubuntu 5.19.0-32.33~22.04.1-generic 5.19.17
Uname: Linux 5.19.0-32-generic x86_64
NonfreeKernelModules: zfs zunicode zavl icp zcommon znvpair
ApportVersion: 2.20.11-0ubuntu82.3
Architecture: amd64
CasperMD5CheckResult: pass
CrashDB: ubuntu
CrashReports:
 640:1000:124:21683716:2023-02-22 21:08:50.684797763 +0100:2023-02-22 21:08:51.768798180 +0100:/var/crash/_usr_bin_gnome-shell.1000.crash
 600:117:124:37:2023-02-22 21:09:17.335021465 +0100:2023-02-22 21:09:17.335021465 +0100:/var/crash/_usr_bin_gnome-shell.1000.uploaded
 664:1000:124:0:2023-02-22 21:08:51.756798121 +0100:2023-02-22 21:08:51.756798121 +0100:/var/crash/_usr_bin_gnome-shell.1000.upload
CurrentDesktop: ubuntu:GNOME
Date: Wed Feb 22 21:50:36 2023
InstallationDate: Installed on 2023-02-22 (0 days ago)
InstallationMedia: Ubuntu 22.04.1 LTS "Jammy Jellyfish" - Release amd64 (20220809.1)
PackageArchitecture: all
SourcePackage: ubuntu-release-upgrader
UpgradeStatus: Upgraded to jammy on 2023-02-22 (0 days ago)
VarLogDistupgradeTermlog:

mtime.conffile..etc.update-manager.release-upgrades: 2023-02-22T21:25:45.479668

[Ole Schönburg (oleschoenburg)]

Maybe of note: I installed 22.04 in "minimal" mode.

[Launchpad Janitor (janitor)]

Status changed to 'Confirmed' because the bug affects multiple users.

[Ken Sharp (kennybobs)]

Very easy to reproduce:

1. Install Jammy
2. Enable "normal" upgrades
3. do-release-upgrade

“An unresolvable problem occurred while calculating the upgrade.”

[Ken Sharp (kennybobs)]

I was going to close some duplicates, but looking at the logs of other reports it looks like this fails for many, many reasons.